The Raise Outran the Re-Rating: Up 17.3% and Cheaper Than Before the Print
Key Takeaways
- Revenue of $9.557B rose 41.1%, of which 27.4 points were organic, and adjusted EPS of $4.24 beat consensus by 28.9%. Acquisitions supplied a third of the revenue increase this quarter against roughly half in Q1, so the mix of the growth improved at the same time as the level of it.
- The full-year adjusted-EPS guide went up $2.80 at the midpoint against a $0.95 quarterly beat. Roughly $1.85 of that is a raise to the second half, taking implied H2 adjusted EPS from about $7.93 to $9.78. The four deals closed since the last call explain only part of it.
- Both segments answered the margin question we flagged in April. Electric printed an 11.46% operating margin against 10.12%, and Underground reached 9.06% against 6.90%, the first time the second segment has cleared 9% since we picked up coverage. Full-year segment margin guides were raised for both.
- The stock rose 17.3% and got cheaper. At $657.98 it trades at 39.4x the new adjusted-EPS midpoint against 40.4x the old midpoint at the pre-print close, and 25.5x enterprise value to adjusted EBITDA on either side of the print. The entire move was absorbed by the raise.
- Rating: Upgrading to Outperform from Hold. Our April Hold was a valuation call, with three named conditions for an upgrade: Electric margin expansion, a second seasonality datapoint, or a de-rating toward the 45x pre-print level. Two of the three landed in one quarter, the most demanding line in the guide (Underground) was beaten by a wide margin, and the 9.7% first-quarter tax rate proved to be the non-event we modelled it as.
Results vs. Consensus
Quanta reported before the open on Thursday, July 30, with the call at 9:00 a.m. ET. Prepared remarks were largely displaced into the company's Second Quarter 2026 Operational and Financial Commentary, posted the same morning, which is where the organic-versus-acquired splits, the segment guidance ranges and the leverage table live. The call itself was two minutes of introduction followed by fifty minutes of questions.
Q2 2026 Scorecard
| Metric | Actual | Consensus | Beat/Miss | Magnitude |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $9,557.0M | $8,530M | Beat | +12.1% |
| Adjusted diluted EPS | $4.24 | $3.29 | Beat | +28.9% |
| GAAP diluted EPS | $2.96 | n/a | n/a | +94.7% YoY |
| Adjusted EBITDA | $1,066.5M | n/a | n/a | +59.5% YoY |
| Operating income | $694.8M | n/a | n/a | +87.6% YoY |
| Free cash flow | $886.0M | n/a | n/a | +419.8% YoY |
| Total backlog | $53,440M | n/a | Record | +49.1% YoY |
| FY26 adjusted EPS guide (mid) | $16.70 | $13.90 (prior guide) | Raised | +$2.80 |
Consensus figures are the most widely carried marks entering the print. No independent consensus was available at the GAAP-EPS, operating-income, adjusted-EBITDA, free-cash-flow or backlog line; those rows are shown against the prior-year actual rather than an estimate. A second provider had $3.31 and $8.61B; on those figures the beat is +28.1% and +11.0%, and nothing in the characterization changes.
Year-over-Year Comparison
| Metric | Q2 2026 | Q2 2025 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $9,557.0M | $6,773.0M | +41.1% |
| Organic revenue growth | +27.4% | n/a | 27.4 of 41.1 points |
| Gross profit | $1,545.2M | $1,007.6M | +53.4% |
| Gross margin | 16.17% | 14.88% | +129 bps |
| SG&A as % of revenue | 7.31% | 7.80% | (49) bps |
| Amortization of intangibles | $157.0M | $113.2M | +38.7% |
| Operating income | $694.8M | $370.3M | +87.6% |
| Operating margin | 7.27% | 5.47% | +180 bps |
| Adjusted EBITDA | $1,066.5M | $668.8M | +59.5% |
| Adjusted EBITDA margin | 11.16% | 9.87% | +129 bps |
| Effective tax rate | 25.53% | 26.71% | (118) bps |
| Net income to common | $451.4M | $229.3M | +96.9% |
| GAAP diluted EPS | $2.96 | $1.52 | +94.7% |
| Adjusted diluted EPS | $4.24 | $2.48 | +71.0% |
| GAAP as % of adjusted EPS | 69.8% | 61.3% | +850 bps |
| Cash from operations | $1,095.4M | $295.7M | +270.4% |
| Free cash flow | $886.0M | $170.4M | +419.8% |
| Diluted shares | 152,439K | 150,923K | +1.0% |
Sequential Comparison
| Metric | Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $9,557.0M | $7,874.8M | +21.4% |
| Operating income | $694.8M | $338.8M | +105.1% |
| Operating margin | 7.27% | 4.30% | +297 bps |
| Adjusted EBITDA | $1,066.5M | $686.4M | +55.4% |
| Adjusted EBITDA margin | 11.16% | 8.72% | +244 bps |
| GAAP diluted EPS | $2.96 | $1.45 | +104.1% |
| Adjusted diluted EPS | $4.24 | $2.68 | +58.2% |
| Effective tax rate | 25.53% | 9.72% | +1,581 bps |
| Free cash flow | $886.0M | $184.4M | +380.4% |
| Days sales outstanding | 57 days | 61 days | (4) days |
| Total backlog | $53,440M | $48,471M | +10.3% |
| Electric operating margin | 11.46% | 8.67% | +279 bps |
| Underground operating margin | 9.06% | 7.51% | +155 bps |
Revenue: 27.4 of the 41.1 points of growth were organic. Businesses acquired over the trailing twelve months contributed roughly $930M of revenue, which is 13.7 points of the increase, or a third of it. In Q1 the acquired share of the increase was 48%. Electric grew organically at approximately 33%; Underground grew organically at approximately 4%, so the segment's headline 30.7% is almost entirely acquired, and that distinction matters below.
Margins: the 180 basis points of consolidated operating-margin expansion break down as +129 bps of gross margin, +49 bps of SG&A leverage, +8 bps from a smaller contingent-consideration mark-up and +3 bps from amortization of intangibles growing more slowly than revenue, less 9 bps from lower equity earnings of integral unconsolidated affiliates. None of it is a one-time item: management was asked directly whether project closeouts flattered the quarter and said no.
EPS: the 71.0% adjusted-EPS growth came with a 25.53% tax rate, slightly below the prior-year 26.71% but 1,581 basis points above the anomalous 9.72% Quanta printed in Q1. Unlike Q1, nothing in this quarter's EPS is a tax artifact. Share count rose 1.0%, so the growth is not a buyback effect either.
Cash: free cash flow of $886.0M represents 83.1% conversion of adjusted EBITDA in the quarter and 61.1% across the first half, against a full-year guide that embeds 54.2% at the midpoint.
Revenue. The $1.03B revenue beat is larger than the entire revenue of most listed contractors, and it did not come from a single project. Electric added $2.38B of revenue year over year, of which roughly $575M was acquired, leaving about $1.80B organic on a base of $5.46B. That is a segment growing organically at a third while already generating $31B of annualized run-rate revenue. The composition matters as much as the size: management attributes the strength to grid, generation, and technology and load center work simultaneously, which is the diversification argument the company has been making since the Cupertino Electric acquisition, finally showing up in one quarter's numbers rather than in a slide.
Margins. The consolidated operating margin of 7.27% is the highest second-quarter figure in Quanta's history as a $9B-plus quarterly revenue business, and the adjusted EBITDA margin of 11.16% is 129 basis points above last year on 41% more revenue. That combination, operating leverage that survives a 41% volume increase, is the single hardest thing for a labor-intensive contractor to do, because volume growth normally means hiring ahead of productivity. Quanta added roughly 8,000 people organically over the trailing year and still expanded gross margin. Amortization of intangibles now runs at $157.0M a quarter, which is why GAAP operating margin sits so far below the segment margins; at +38.7% it grew more slowly than revenue, so the level is the drag, not the growth rate.
EPS. Adjusted EPS of $4.24 is 71.0% above last year and 58.2% above the first quarter. The bridge from GAAP is $1.28 per share: $1.03 of intangible amortization, $0.42 of stock compensation, $0.19 of acquisition and integration costs, $0.04 each of contingent-consideration mark-up and non-integral affiliate losses, and $0.02 of amortization inside equity earnings, less $0.46 of tax effects. That bridge is 30.2% of the adjusted number, an improvement from 38.7% in the prior-year quarter and from 46% in Q1, but it is still a large adjustment, and the four acquisitions closed since the last call will widen it again in 2027.
Segment Performance
| Segment | Revenue | YoY growth | Organic growth | Operating income | Operating margin | Prior-year margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electric Infrastructure Solutions | $7,837.8M | +43.6% | ~+33% | $898.2M | 11.46% | 10.12% |
| Underground Utility and Infrastructure Solutions | $1,719.2M | +30.7% | ~+4% | $155.8M | 9.06% | 6.90% |
| Corporate and non-allocated costs | n/a | n/a | n/a | ($359.2M) | (3.76%) | (4.03%) |
| Consolidated | $9,557.0M | +41.1% | +27.4% | $694.8M | 7.27% | 5.47% |
Key Operating Metrics
| KPI | Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2025 | YoY | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total backlog | $53,440M | $48,471M | $35,845M | +49.1% | Record; $2.4B of the sequential gain is acquired |
| 12-month backlog | $32,314M | $28,233M | $20,048M | +61.2% | Record; growing faster than total backlog |
| Remaining performance obligations | $33,554M | n/a | $19,161M | +75.1% | Contracted portion outgrowing MSA estimates |
| Electric backlog | $43,790M | $40,106M | $30,283M | +44.6% | Excludes most of the NiSource program |
| Underground backlog | $9,650M | $8,365M | $5,561M | +73.5% | Mechanical plus Canadian pipeline bookings |
| Book-to-bill, consolidated | 1.52x | 1.57x | n/a | n/a | 1.27x excluding the $2.4B acquired backlog |
| Days sales outstanding | 57 | 61 | n/a | n/a | Four-day improvement in one quarter |
| Net debt to EBITDA (credit agreement) | 1.72x | n/a | n/a | n/a | 1.95x at year-end 2025, through $1.24B of deals |
| Total liquidity | ~$2.8B | n/a | n/a | n/a | Moody's upgraded to Baa2 in June |
| Employees | 85,000+ | n/a | n/a | +15,500 (yr) | Roughly 8,000 of the adds organic |
Electric Infrastructure Solutions
Electric produced $7.84B of revenue at an 11.46% operating margin, against $5.46B at 10.12% a year ago. Strip out the roughly $575M contributed by businesses acquired over the trailing twelve months and organic growth was approximately 33%. This is the line that answers the specific bear point we raised in April, when the full-year guide of 10.1% to 10.5% bracketed the prior year's 10.26% and implied no expansion at all across the balance of 2026. Quanta printed 134 basis points of expansion in the first quarter it was asked to.
"Segment revenue growth reflects continued demand for our grid, generation and technology and load center solutions and the strong operating income margin was driven by the benefits of increased scope and self-performed solutions, efficient resource utilization, and solid execution across the segment." — Second Quarter 2026 Operational and Financial Commentary
Backlog in the segment reached $43.79B, up 44.6% year over year, and approximately $2.4B of the sequential increase came with the acquisitions rather than from awards. Excluding that, the segment's organic book-to-bill was roughly 1.16x, below the consolidated figure and well below Q1's pace. Management pre-warned in April that a 1.57x consolidated quarter was not repeatable, so this is not a surprise, but it is the one place in the quarter where the underlying number is meaningfully weaker than the headline. Two forward items sit outside the total: a significant majority of the NiSource power generation and grid infrastructure program, which management now expects to land in the third quarter rather than the vaguer "later half of the year" framing used in April, and the large transmission corridors that are still in engineering.
Assessment: the segment is now demonstrably expanding margin while growing organically at a third, which removes the central objection to the April thesis. The offsetting caution is that the segment's own backlog growth is decelerating on an organic basis and the full-year guide implies 10.93% across the second half against 11.11% a year ago, so management is again asking to be judged on a half it has guided down.
Underground Utility and Infrastructure Solutions
Underground produced $1.72B at a 9.06% operating margin, against $1.31B at 6.90%. The 216 basis points of expansion is the largest single-quarter move this segment has delivered in the period we have examined, and it beat the 8.62% we calculated in April that the segment would need to average across the balance of 2026 to hit its then-current full-year guide. Management raised the full-year margin range to 8.75% to 9.0% from 8.25% to 8.50%, and the revenue range to $7.6B to $7.8B from $6.5B to $6.7B.
The composition is where the caution sits. Organic revenue growth in the segment was approximately 4%; businesses acquired over the trailing twelve months contributed roughly $355M, meaning almost the entire 30.7% headline growth is acquired. The commentary attributes the margin performance to "our civil and mechanical operations within the segment," which is the acquired mix. Backlog told a different and better story: $9.65B, up 73.5%, with an implied book-to-bill of roughly 1.75x on essentially no acquired contribution, driven by mechanical bookings and Canadian pipeline work.
"The strong performance was driven primarily by our civil and mechanical operations within the segment." — Second Quarter 2026 Operational and Financial Commentary
Assessment: the margin question here is being answered, but the revenue growth is not organic and the segment's organic base is close to flat. The bookings, though, are the strongest in the company on a book-to-bill basis, which suggests the organic line reflects timing rather than demand. We would treat a second quarter of 9%-plus margin with mid-single-digit-or-better organic revenue as the confirmation.
Corporate and Non-Allocated Costs
Corporate costs of $359.2M represented 3.76% of revenue, down from 4.03% a year ago and 4.16% in the first quarter. The absolute figure grew 31.5%, slower than the 41.1% revenue growth, which is the first quarter in our coverage window where corporate overhead has levered positively. Inside that line, amortization of intangibles ran $157.0M and non-cash stock compensation $63.4M, up 38.7% and 43.8% respectively. Amortization grew more slowly than the 41.1% revenue increase and so contributed to the leverage rather than working against it; stock compensation is the one component of corporate cost that outgrew revenue.
Assessment: a genuine improvement, and the mirror image of the April observation that corporate costs were rising as a share of revenue. It is worth flagging that the two fastest-growing components inside this line are the two that are direct functions of acquisition activity, and four more deals closed after the quarter-end balance sheet was struck.
Key Topics & Management Commentary
Overall Management Tone: Confident and unusually specific about limits. Management volunteered the acquired-versus-organic split in each segment, named the back half as deliberately conservative rather than letting the guide speak for itself, and twice declined to claim credit for things it could have (no pull-forward, no closeout benefit, no one-time items). Where it was least forthcoming was on the economics of anything it owns rather than builds: the manufacturing operations, the new breaker joint venture, and the purchase multiple on $1.24B of deals were all left qualitative. That is a repeat of the April pattern, and it is the only place the call was thinner than the print.
1. The Raise Is Bigger Than the Beat, and Most of It Is Forward
The full-year adjusted-EPS midpoint moved from $13.90 to $16.70, a $2.80 increase against a $0.95 quarterly beat. Decomposed against where the Street stood, first-half actuals of $6.92 plus the old midpoint's implied second half of roughly $7.93 gives $14.85; the new guide implies $9.78 in the second half. The raise is therefore $0.95 of banked beat and $1.85 of higher forward expectation, a 23.3% increase in the implied second half. Revenue moved $4.55B at the midpoint, taking implied full-year growth from 22.7% to 38.7% against the $28.48B Quanta reported for 2025.
In April the equivalent arithmetic ran the other way: the raise exceeded the beat by only about $0.26 and management characterised it as "we raised it $50 million past the beat." This quarter the forward component is seven times larger.
"As a result of our strong first half, improved visibility into the remainder of the year and expected contributions from the acquisitions announced this morning, we are significantly increasing our full year 2026 financial expectations across all metrics." — Duke Austin, President and CEO
Not all of the forward raise is organic. The four acquisitions are guided to contribute $1.2B to $1.4B of revenue and $120M to $140M of adjusted EBITDA in 2026, which is roughly 29% of the revenue raise and 22% of the adjusted EBITDA raise. Netting that out still leaves a mid-single-digit-percent organic upgrade to the second half on top of the beat.
Assessment: the shape of this raise is the most important fact in the quarter. A company that raises only by the amount it beat is telling you the year was front-loaded; a company that raises the back half by 23% is telling you its visibility improved. Given that Quanta's April guide was itself characterised as prudent and was then beaten by 28.9%, we read the pattern as structurally conservative rather than as a company reaching.
2. Record $53.4B Backlog, and How Much of It Was Bought
Total backlog reached $53.44B, up 49.1% year over year and 10.3% sequentially, on remaining performance obligations of $33.55B, up 75.1%. The twelve-month component reached $32.31B, up 61.2%, growing faster than the total, which is the mix shift toward contracted and near-term work that we identified in April as the healthiest thing about the backlog.
The consolidated book-to-bill was 1.52x. Adjusting for the approximately $2.4B of Electric backlog that arrived with the acquisitions rather than through awards, the organic figure is roughly 1.27x. In April we set 1.2x as the threshold that would tell us the demand was durable rather than a single lumpy quarter; 1.27x clears it, though not by much, and the deceleration from Q1's 1.57x is real.
"The record backlog we reported reflects the demand in front of us, but we're still in the early stages. The larger programs across the utility generation and technology load center markets are ahead of us, and we expect them to stack in the years to come. In many ways, we are just getting started." — Duke Austin, President and CEO
The forward-looking exclusions are substantial and disclosed. Most of the NiSource program remains outside the total pending permits, and management sharpened the timing to the third quarter. The large transmission corridors are still in engineering, with field mobilization guided to the second half of 2027.
Assessment: the disclosure here is good, which is not a low bar for a contractor's backlog. Management put the acquired component in writing rather than letting the headline stand. The number to watch is not the record, which management has effectively pre-announced for the next two quarters, but whether organic book-to-bill holds above 1.2x once the acquired contributions annualise.
3. Electric Margin Expanded 134 Basis Points, Answering April's Bear Point
Our April note argued that all of the year's guided margin expansion had been earned in the first quarter, that the balance of the year implied 10.65% consolidated against 10.66% a year prior, and that Electric specifically implied 10.78% against 10.81%. The segment printed 11.46% in the first quarter it was tested. Management raised the full-year Electric margin range to 10.5% to 10.75% from 10.1% to 10.5%, which takes the guided expansion against 2025's 10.26% from 4 basis points to 34.
Asked whether the structural ceiling has moved, management gave the most specific framework it has offered on segment margins.
"We've always said that the electric segment has the ability to operate 10 to 12 on the utility side, 12 would be the utmost margins that you would see. And that's when you stack in large transmission and all aspects at once. So you get full utilization." — Duke Austin, President and CEO
The mechanism management describes is utilization rather than pricing: full stacking of large transmission alongside distribution, generation and load-center work, with fungible craft moving between them. That framing is consistent with the 129 basis points of gross-margin expansion and the fact that no pricing action was cited anywhere on the call.
Assessment: confirmed, and it is the single most important delta from April. The residual caution is that the raised full-year guide still implies 10.93% across the second half against 11.11% a year ago, so the pattern of earning the expansion in the reported half and guiding the unreported half flat has repeated. Management named it as deliberate rather than leaving it unaddressed, which is a change.
4. Underground at 9.06%, and Management Now Talks About Parity
The most demanding single line in April's guide was Underground's requirement to average roughly 8.62% across the balance of 2026 against 7.67% in the same period of 2025. The segment printed 9.06% in the first quarter of that period. Management raised the full-year range to 8.75% to 9.0%, and for the first time framed the long-run target as parity with Electric rather than as double digits.
"Yes, look, I do think you can pull them up. We got -- let me get to double digits first, and then I'll go from there. But I do think we have opportunities to get at parity to electric. You can do it. It just depends on what the mix looks like." — Duke Austin, President and CEO
The mechanism management gives is again fungibility: craft moving from data-center work to industrial to gas compression, and margin being earned on the Electric side of the ledger while the labor is shared. That is an honest answer, and it also complicates attribution, because it implies segment margins are partly an artifact of where the revenue is booked rather than where the value is created.
Assessment: April's most demanding guidance line was cleared by 44 basis points and then raised. This is a straightforward confirmation. Against it, the segment's organic revenue growth was approximately 4%, so the margin improvement is arriving through mix rather than through operating leverage on the base business.
5. Four Acquisitions at Roughly Five Times EBITDA
Quanta closed Phalcon, Percheron and PSD in the second quarter and Enerfab in July, for approximately $1.24B of upfront consideration net of cash, comprising about $1.07B in cash and $173.3M in stock, plus up to $242.3M of contingent consideration. The four businesses add roughly 7,400 employees and are guided to contribute $1.2B to $1.4B of revenue and $120M to $140M of adjusted EBITDA in 2026.
Asked for the purchase multiple, the CFO declined to state it and pointed to the arithmetic instead.
"Yes, I think you can just do the math. It's about 6, 7 months worth of what we gave you. So you could annualize it based on just that, and that can give you a good sense of the run rate." — Jayshree Desai, Chief Financial Officer
Doing the math as invited: $120M to $140M over six to seven months annualises to roughly $206M to $280M of adjusted EBITDA, putting the upfront consideration at approximately 4.4x to 6.0x, or 5.3x to 7.2x if every contingent dollar is earned. Quanta's own enterprise value trades at 25.5x the new full-year adjusted-EBITDA midpoint.
Assessment: buying operating EBITDA at five or six times while the acquirer trades at twenty-five is the most direct per-share value creation available to this management team, and it is the strongest single rebuttal to the argument that acquisition dependence dilutes the earnings stream. The counterweight is that every deal adds intangible amortization, and the full-year amortization guide has already moved to $679.5M from the $601.2M assumed in April.
6. Technology and Load Centers: From 100-120% Growth to 220-240%
The key-market table in the supplemental commentary now guides Technology and Load Centers to 220% to 240% revenue growth in 2026, against 100% to 120% in the April version, on approximately 10% of 2025 revenue. The stated drivers are balance-of-plant demand, a full year of Dynamic Systems and Tri-City Group, and a partial year of Phalcon. Electric Grid and Gas Utility, at roughly half of 2025 revenue, is guided to 20% to 25%, up from the prior framing; Power Generation and Energy Storage to 10% to 15%; Communications and Pipeline Services to 0% to 5% each.
Management sized the technology exposure in aggregate for the first time.
"What I would say is 15% of the business is technology, call it, 15% to 20% right in there. And that's a spectrum of chips to everything, not just data centers." — Duke Austin, President and CEO
The strategic framing is unchanged from April: Quanta positions itself at the interconnection point between hyperscalers that want speed and utilities that must protect ratepayers, selling balance-of-plant scope that management characterises as roughly 80% to 90% of a data-center build excluding chips.
Assessment: doubling the growth expectation for the fastest-growing market inside two quarters is either extraordinary demand capture or an unstable planning assumption. The evidence in the print favors the former, since it arrived alongside 33% organic Electric growth rather than instead of it. What has not changed is that this is a directional estimate in a supplemental document, explicitly not a reported segment and explicitly "not intended to replace or precisely align with our guidance."
7. Book-and-Burn: The Revenue That Never Enters Backlog
The most analytically consequential disclosure on the call was almost an aside. Explaining why organic strength did not fully show up in bookings, management described a category of work that is contracted and executed inside a single quarter and therefore never appears in backlog at a period end.
"So we may book and bill $300 million on a site in a quarter, you never see it show up in backlog. That's part of MEP. And that happens quite a bit. So we're working through that about how to look at those MSAs on the technology side, especially when we're building balance of plant in multiple areas. We need to look at that internally to decide is a PO against an MSA or is it an MSA." — Duke Austin, President and CEO
This cuts two ways. It means backlog understates activity in the fastest-growing part of the company, which supports the organic revenue strength and helps explain why Electric's organic book-to-bill of roughly 1.16x sits below its revenue growth rate. It also means backlog is becoming a less complete forward indicator precisely where investors most want one, and management says the accounting treatment is still being decided internally.
Assessment: a genuinely useful disclosure that most managements would not have volunteered, and a reason to weight the twelve-month backlog and RPO figures over the headline total. It also creates a real risk that the disclosure basis changes in a future quarter and breaks the comparability of the backlog series.
8. The Tax Rate Normalized, and No One Asked About It
The effective tax rate was 25.53%, against 26.71% in the prior-year quarter and 9.72% in the first quarter. The only tax adjustment inside the non-GAAP bridge was a $2.1M contingency release worth $0.01 per share. The full-year guide embeds a provision of $540.0M to $579.7M, against $182.5M taken in the first half, so the second half carries roughly double the first half's tax burden.
In April we modelled 21% and treated the 9.72% as non-recurring on the basis that no explanation was offered for a 1,140 basis point decline. The quarter validates that treatment and, if anything, argues for a higher normalized rate. No analyst raised the subject.
Assessment: the quality-of-earnings question we flagged in April is closed. The $4.24 was earned operationally. It is worth noting that a normalized rate returning at exactly the moment the operating result inflected is the least convenient sequence for a bear, and it did not stop the beat being 28.9%.
9. Free Cash Flow of $886M and a Claim That It Is Structural
Free cash flow of $886.0M in the quarter and $1,070.4M in the first half compares with $170.4M and $288.2M a year ago. DSO improved to 57 days from 61 in the first quarter. The full-year range moved to $2.00B to $2.50B from $1.55B to $2.05B, so the new floor sits within $50M of the old ceiling and the midpoint moved up $450M. In April the CFO volunteered "greater confidence about being at the higher end" of the old range without raising it; this quarter the range moved.
"Our free cash flow in the second quarter of 2026 was $886 million. This was stronger than we expected due to a favorable working capital profile across our portfolio of work, positively impacted by revenues generated through our large load and renewable solutions." — Second Quarter 2026 Operational and Financial Commentary
Management's framing is that the mix shift toward mechanical, EPC and renewables work carries structurally better contracting terms, and that this is a portfolio property rather than a quarter of favorable timing. The CFO separately stated the company is "getting favorable contracting terms across the business."
Assessment: the full-year guide's implied conversion of 54.2% of adjusted EBITDA sits below the first half's realized 61.1% and below the 55% to 60% range management describes as normal, so the raised range is still conservative on its own arithmetic. A second commitment from April, that free cash flow would land toward the high end, was not merely met but superseded.
10. Deleveraging Through a $1.24B Buying Spree
Net debt to EBITDA measured under the credit agreement improved to 1.72x from 1.95x at year-end 2025, with total liquidity of approximately $2.8B, and Moody's upgraded the senior unsecured rating to Baa2 from Baa3 and commercial paper to Prime-2 in June. Total debt including operating lease liabilities stood at $6.60B against $6.42B at year-end. The company simultaneously deployed roughly $1.07B of cash on acquisitions, most of it after the quarter-end balance sheet date.
"As calculated under our senior credit agreement, at the end of the second quarter, our debt-to-EBITDA ratio improved to 1.7, down from 1.95 at the end of 2025, and we had total liquidity of approximately $2.8 billion." — Jayshree Desai, Chief Financial Officer
Capital allocation also included a new $1B repurchase authorization approved in May, under which nothing has yet been bought; the expired prior program had acquired 540,788 shares for approximately $135M. The quarterly dividend was set at $0.11 per share.
Assessment: deleveraging through an acquisition-heavy quarter is a function of the denominator growing faster than the numerator, which is exactly what you want to see, but it is also a reminder that the leverage ratio is being flattered by a rapidly rising EBITDA base. The point at which this becomes a question is if EBITDA growth decelerates while the acquisition pace holds.
11. Seasonality: Management Finally Engages
In April, management explicitly declined to characterise whether the first quarter's unusual sequential resilience was structural, saying it had not got its head around it. This quarter, asked whether a mild spring pulled work forward, it gave a mechanism.
"I do think you bring up a good point on seasonality. We used to have a much more pronounced seasonality in the business. With being inside and having kind of the electricians in the places that we're at, I do fabrication facilities, you're going to see that level out in the fourth and the second. It will start to level. So it won't be as pronounced as it was in the past." — Duke Austin, President and CEO
The stated cause is mix: indoor electrical work, fabrication facilities, and an electrician-weighted craft base that is less exposed to weather than a transmission line crew. That is a coherent explanation. The counter-evidence in this quarter is that revenue rose 21.4% sequentially against 8.7% in the same step of 2025, which is a more pronounced ramp, not a flatter one, though the comparison is confounded by the acquisition cohort and by large-load mobilization timing.
Assessment: management now has a mechanism where in April it had an observation, which is progress. The claim is not testable until the fourth-quarter-to-first-quarter step, so this stays an open item rather than a confirmed one.
12. The Vertical Supply Chain Gains a Breaker Joint Venture and Still No Numbers
In June, Quanta and Hyosung HICO formed Hyosung HICO Breaker, LLC, to manufacture high-voltage and extra-high-voltage gas circuit breakers rated up to 800 kV at a refurbished facility on Quanta's Canonsburg, Pennsylvania manufacturing site. That sits alongside the transformer manufacturing expansion, a utility pole business, and roughly 7.35 million square feet of fabrication space after the acquisitions, against the approximately 6.7 million disclosed in April.
"Anywhere there's a critical path that we think we can invest capital to move it forward, that's what you've seen us do. So as we're looking outward, we're taking advantage of areas where there's underinvestment or we believe it's something that is a critical path for us." — Duke Austin, President and CEO
The strategic logic is unchanged and remains persuasive: in a market where high-voltage equipment lead times are the binding constraint, owning the constraint converts scarcity into schedule certainty, and schedule certainty is what customers are paying for. What is also unchanged is that Quanta discloses no revenue, no margin, no capital employed and no return figure for any of it. The joint venture announcement carried no ownership split, no capital commitment, no capacity figure and no revenue timing.
Assessment: this is the second consecutive quarter in which the most differentiated element of the strategy is also the least verifiable from public disclosure. We continue to give it no explicit credit in the numbers, and we continue to think that is the right treatment until something is disclosed.
Guidance & Outlook
| Metric (FY2026) | Prior low | Prior high | New low | New high | Midpoint change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $34,700M | $35,200M | $39,300M | $39,700M | Raised +$4,550M |
| Adjusted EBITDA | $3,491M | $3,650M | $4,089M | $4,211M | Raised +$579M |
| Net income to common | $1,395M | $1,502M | $1,741M | $1,817M | Raised +$331M |
| GAAP diluted EPS | $9.17 | $9.87 | $11.41 | $11.92 | Raised +$2.14 |
| Adjusted diluted EPS | $13.55 | $14.25 | $16.45 | $16.95 | Raised +$2.80 |
| Free cash flow | $1,550M | $2,050M | $2,000M | $2,500M | Raised +$450M |
| Interest expense | $267M | $273M | $268M | $274M | Raised +$1M |
Segment Guidance
| Segment (FY2026) | Prior revenue range | New revenue range | Implied growth (mid) | Prior OI margin | New OI margin | vs. FY25 actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electric | $28,200M-$28,500M | $31,700M-$31,900M | +38.3% | 10.1%-10.5% | 10.5%-10.75% | +34 bps vs 10.26% |
| Underground and Infrastructure | $6,500M-$6,700M | $7,600M-$7,800M | +40.6% | 8.25%-8.50% | 8.75%-9.00% | +161 bps vs 7.27% |
The consolidated revenue midpoint of $39.5B implies full-year growth of 38.7% against 2025's $28.48B, up from the 22.7% embedded in the April guide. The adjusted-EBITDA midpoint of $4,149.6M implies a 10.51% margin, against 10.10% in 2025 and the 10.22% implied by the April guide, so the guided margin expansion for the year moved from 12 basis points to 41.
Implied second-half ramp: revenue of approximately $22,068M, up 42.6% against the $15,473M Quanta produced in the second half of 2025, and adjusted EBITDA of approximately $2,397M for a 10.86% margin against 11.01% a year ago. Excluding the $1.2B to $1.4B of acquired revenue, the implied second-half margin is approximately 10.91%, still ten basis points below the prior year. By segment, Electric implies 10.93% against 11.11% and Underground implies 9.23% against 8.03%. The consolidated pattern from April therefore repeats: the expansion is booked in the reported half and the guided half is flat to slightly down.
Street at: the new adjusted-EPS midpoint of $16.70 sits 20.1% above the prior guide midpoint and 55.3% above 2025's actual $10.75. Consensus entering the print was $3.29 for the quarter, implying a full-year path materially below the old guide's upper half, so the guide now leads the Street by a wide margin rather than trailing it.
Guidance style: management named the conservatism directly this time.
"Yes, I do think we posted a real nice quarter. We were prudent in the guidance that we gave you in the back half. You're seeing synergies show up. We're seeing a lot of book-to-burn. So I do believe like there is some room in the margins in the backside." — Duke Austin, President and CEO
Taken with the pattern of the last two quarters, in which a guide characterised as prudent was beaten by 28.9%, and with a free-cash-flow range whose midpoint implies conversion below what the first half already achieved, we treat this guide as a floor rather than a forecast.
Analyst Q&A Highlights
Whether the Structural Margin Ceiling Has Moved
The opening question went straight to the issue the print raised: if self-perform intensity is rising and large-load work is becoming a larger share of the mix, does the long-run margin ceiling move with it? Management had been deliberately reserved on margin upside for several quarters, and this was the first time it was pressed on that reserve after a quarter that made the reserve look conservative. The answer supplied a numerical frame rather than a directional reassurance, and located the upside in utilization rather than in pricing.
Q: "I know you've been, Duke, a little bit reserved and Jayshree on the margin upside messaging. I guess, to what extent are you now thinking maybe a little bit more positively longer term about the margin potential here as you have more self-perform and you've got more large load projects becoming more of the mix? I guess, any reason why that wouldn't add to some margin upside over the longer term?"
— Steven Fisher, UBS
A: "We've always said that the electric segment has the ability to operate 10 to 12 on the utility side, 12 would be the utmost margins that you would see. And that's when you stack in large transmission and all aspects at once. So you get full utilization. You're also training a lot of people."
— Duke Austin, President and CEO
Assessment: a 10% to 12% ceiling on the Electric segment against a full-year guide of 10.5% to 10.75% means management is guiding to the lower half of a range it says is achievable. The qualifier, that 12% requires large transmission stacked with everything else at full utilization, is a description of exactly the mix the company says arrives in 2027 and beyond. This is the most quantitative long-run margin statement we have from this management team.
Utility Self-Perform and the Line Quanta Will Not Cross
A question on a Midwest utility electing to self-perform its own gas generation work invited management to describe how much of the generation opportunity it intends to chase. The answer repeated April's constraint in the same terms, which is useful for a thesis that treats the constraint as a permanent feature rather than a negotiating posture, and paired it with the sharpest timing statement of the call on the NiSource program.
Q: "We've seen a large utility in Midwest recently indicate for -- at least for their gas generation RFP that they're electing to self-perform because there's inadequate resources. Again, given this backdrop, how do you think about your willingness to participate in the gas generation side of the business?"
— Julien Dumoulin-Smith, Jefferies
A: "I like the business. We're just not willing to take the risk on the combined cycle side and some of the single-cycle engines. So that's the issue. If we can get the type of contracts that we need to feel comfortable with it, we'll do it. And certainly, the inbounds and ask of our customers, we did mention NiSource. I do believe a significant amount of that will go into backlog in the third quarter."
— Duke Austin, President and CEO
Assessment: the risk discipline is real and repeated, which is the correct behavior and also a genuine cap on how much of the generation total addressable market converts. The NiSource timing moved from April's "later half of the year and beyond" to a specific quarter, which is a commitment worth grading in October.
Whether the Quarter Was Pulled Forward
Given a mild spring and a 41% revenue print, the obvious skeptical question was whether work was pulled into the quarter from later in the year. Management rejected the premise outright and then offered an alternative explanation that turned out to be the most informative disclosure of the call, describing a category of revenue that is contracted and executed within a quarter and never appears in period-end backlog.
Q: "Just given -- I mean, obviously, it seems like pretty strong organic performance within the quarter. I just wanted to see, I mean, if we could kind of break that out, how much was that -- was there any kind of pull forward of timing or weather implications within there just given kind of more of a mild spring season?"
— Nick Amicucci, Evercore ISI
A: "But as far as pull in, I mean, it is different from a standpoint, nothing pulled in at all that I'm aware of, just nothing. But what is happening, we're getting on sites and people are starting to see us perform and they're asking for more services immediately. So we may book and bill $300 million on a site in a quarter, you never see it show up in backlog."
— Duke Austin, President and CEO
Assessment: an unequivocal denial of pull-forward paired with a mechanism that reconciles strong revenue against a decelerating organic book-to-bill. It also tells you that the fastest-growing part of the business is the part least visible in the metric investors track most closely, which is a disclosure problem management acknowledged it has not yet resolved.
What Enters Backlog When States Pause Data Centers
A question about state-level data-center moratoria produced two very different answers. The chief executive dismissed the specific risk on geographic grounds and then spent most of the response on the public-perception argument about data centers generally. The chief financial officer came back to what the question actually implied for the balance sheet, which is what enters backlog and when.
Q: "I wanted to check in with you on the recent New York state ban or pause on data centers. We published recently that we could see as many as 10 more states pursue data center bans or pauses by the end of this year. What are your thoughts on this potential risk? How could it impact your business? And then when you add data center work to your backlog, have these projects been cleared of all permitting, environmental approvals, community support?"
— Philip Shen, ROTH Capital Partners
A: "The way we treat our backlog, just like we do on the T&D side, just like we do on the generation side, we want to make sure that we have a constructive and prudent way of what goes into backlog. So on the data center side, we tend to put in things that have only LNTPs, and we don't put the rest of it until the project is a go."
— Jayshree Desai, Chief Financial Officer
Assessment: the substantive answer is the second one. A backlog policy that admits only work under limited notice to proceed is conservative and consistent with the disclosed NiSource exclusion, and it means a permitting pause removes optionality rather than removing booked revenue. The first answer, which ran to several hundred words on the merits of data centers for rural school districts, was the least disciplined stretch of the call.
The Durability of the Cash Flow Conversion
Free cash flow quadrupled year over year, so the question of whether the working-capital improvement is structural or a timing artifact mattered more than usual. The response distinguished between the mix effect, which management argues is durable, and the growth effect, which it says works the other way, and it left the guided conversion rate unchanged despite a first half that ran well above it.
Q: "Are you seeing changes in kind of maybe like prepayments or other things that are kind of favorable to working capital from some of these large load customers that maybe it's a sustainable dynamic that maybe improves the free cash flow conversion over time? Or is it kind of just a one-off here this quarter?"
— Justin Hauke, Baird
A: "Having said that, we do think the right way to think about our business continues to be that conversion rate of around 55%. I talked about it in the Investor Day that we have the opportunities to be higher than that, 55% to 60%. Do I believe that we can be at the high end of that even this year and going forward? I do. And I think there's opportunities even to beat it."
— Jayshree Desai, Chief Financial Officer
Assessment: the answer is careful in the right places, naming utility growth as a working-capital headwind rather than claiming the improvement is unqualified. Holding the framework at 55% while guiding a range whose midpoint implies 54.2% and delivering 61.1% in the first half is the same conservatism visible in the margin guide.
Underground Margins Reaching Parity With Electric
The Underground margin has been the longest-running sore point in this story, and the print gave a questioner who has pressed it for years the opening to ask whether the long-run target should move. Management's answer accepted the framing but sequenced it, and attributed the improvement partly to labor moving across segment boundaries, which complicates the attribution of both segments' margins.
Q: "I mean, I've been beating you up on your underground margins for years. And finally, it sounds these margins are really starting to improve. I guess with some of these acquisitions that you're doing and some of the structural improvements you're making, I'm wondering, over time, although it's not in your sort of longer-term margin targets, is there a path, in particular with some of these higher-margin acquisitions for your underground margins to approach the electric business?"
— Jamie Cook, Truist
A: "Yes. I mean there's always opportunity. It just depends on the work mix. I mean some of those margins you can pull up. And it depends on the risk. It depends on some of the fabrication. Yes, look, I do think you can pull them up. We got -- let me get to double digits first, and then I'll go from there. But I do think we have opportunities to get at parity to electric."
— Duke Austin, President and CEO
Assessment: parity with Electric would imply roughly 250 basis points above the new full-year Underground guide, on a segment that has just cleared 9% for the first time. That is a long-dated aspiration rather than a plan, but the direction of travel is now supported by two consecutive quarters of expansion and a raised guide.
The Purchase Multiple Management Would Not State
The last substantive question of the call asked directly for the annualized EBITDA run-rate on $1.24B of deals, so that the purchase multiple could be computed. The answer supplied a window rather than a number and invited the questioner to do the arithmetic. That window, six to seven months, is wide enough to swing the implied multiple by roughly a third.
Q: "Just on the acquisitions, can you give us like the annualized EBITDA run rate? Are both purchase multiples you underwrote just the $120 million to $140 million contribution seems like it's just partial year, and I just want to make sure we're comparing it correctly with the purchase price."
— Chris Tsung, Wolfe Research
A: "Yes, I think you can just do the math. It's about 6, 7 months worth of what we gave you. So you could annualize it based on just that, and that can give you a good sense of the run rate."
— Jayshree Desai, Chief Financial Officer
Assessment: the arithmetic points to roughly 4.4x to 6.0x upfront consideration, which is a good outcome, and management could have said so. Declining to state the multiple on the largest acquisition quarter in the company's history, in the same call where the vertical supply chain again went undisclosed, is the consistent pattern: strong operating transparency, thin capital-deployment transparency.
What They're NOT Saying
- The purchase multiple on $1.24B of deals: the CFO declined to state it and gave a six-to-seven-month annualization window instead, which spans an implied multiple of roughly 4.4x to 6.0x. On the largest acquisition quarter in the company's history, this is the number most relevant to whether the capital was well spent.
- Any financial disclosure for the manufacturing and vertical supply chain operations: second consecutive quarter with no revenue, margin, capital employed or return figure for transformer manufacturing, pole manufacturing or off-site fabrication. The new breaker joint venture was announced without an ownership split, a capital commitment, a capacity figure or a revenue timeline.
- Technology and Load Centers as a reported line: the market now guided to 220% to 240% growth exists only as a directional estimate in a supplemental document that explicitly disclaims alignment with guidance. The fastest-growing part of the company is not a reported segment and has no disclosed margin.
- Why the full-year interest-expense guide moved only $1 million: approximately $1.07B of cash consideration was funded with drawings under existing debt arrangements, yet the range moved from $267M-$273M to $268M-$274M. That embeds an assumption that second-half free cash flow retires the drawings quickly, which was never stated.
- Any quantification of synergies: management said "We talk about synergies a lot, and we don't put them in anything. But you can see from the quarter, they show up." That is an assertion that a portion of the margin beat is synergy-driven, with no figure attached and no way to verify it.
- An updated 2030 framework: the multi-year targets from the 2026 Investor Day were referenced but not restated against a base that has just moved up 20% at the adjusted-EPS line. Whether the 15% to 20% long-term growth range now compounds off $16.70 or off something lower was not addressed.
- How book-and-burn revenue will eventually be disclosed: management said it needs "to look at that internally to decide is a PO against an MSA or is it an MSA." A change in that determination would alter the backlog series without altering the business.
- A consolidated organic-versus-acquired backlog split: the $2.4B acquired figure was disclosed for Electric only. Underground's acquired backlog was described as immaterial, but no consolidated reconciliation was provided.
- Whether 15,500 annual headcount additions are sustainable: management asserted "we're nowhere near capacity" and cited roughly $250M of annual training spend, but offered no attrition rate, no revenue-per-employee figure and no journeyman-mix data to support it.
Market Reaction
- Pre-print setup: PWR closed at $561.14 on Wednesday, July 29. That was +33.0% year to date against +6.9% for the S&P 500, and +36.5% over twelve months, but -22.1% over the trailing thirty days from $720.04 on June 30. The 52-week closing range entering the print was $372.50 to $785.24, so the stock came into the quarter 28.5% below its own high-water close.
- Reaction session: the stock gapped open at $647.00, +15.3%, traded a $634.51 to $679.80 range and closed at $657.98, up 17.3% or $96.84. The S&P 500 rose 1.7% the same day.
- Volume: 3.0 million shares against a 1.3 million thirty-day average, a 2.3x multiple, in line with the 2.4x seen on the April print.
- Where that leaves it: $657.98 is 9.6% below the $727.77 close that followed the first-quarter print three months earlier, and 16.2% below the 52-week closing high of $785.24.
The most instructive fact about the reaction is not the size of the move but what it did to the multiple. At the pre-print close, on the guidance then outstanding, PWR traded at 40.4x the full-year adjusted-EPS midpoint and roughly 25.5x enterprise value to adjusted EBITDA. After a 17.3% session, on the new guidance, it trades at 39.4x and roughly 25.5x. The stock is up substantially and, on forward earnings, marginally cheaper. That is what happens when a guide is raised 20.1% into a 17.3% move.
The de-rating that preceded the print is the necessary context. Between the June 30 close and the July 29 close the stock lost 22.1% without a company-specific disclosure, on what appears to have been a broad repricing of high-multiple infrastructure exposure and a specific skepticism about whether capacity investment would convert backlog into operating income rather than only into revenue. The second-quarter operating margin of 7.27%, against 4.30% in the first quarter, is a direct answer to that skepticism, and it arrived in the first reporting period after the argument was made.
Against the April print, this reaction is more defensible. In April the stock added 15.8% on a $0.90 raise to the adjusted-EPS midpoint, taking the forward multiple to 52.4x. In July it added 17.3% on a $2.80 raise, taking the forward multiple to 39.4x. The same percentage move against three times the earnings revision produces a cheaper stock, which is the difference between a re-rating and a repricing.
Street Perspective
Debate: Is the Guide Still Conservative, or Has the Bar Finally Caught Up?
Bull view: the bull case being made on the Street is that this guide is a floor. Management explicitly called the back half prudent, the free-cash-flow range implies conversion below what the first half already delivered, the Electric margin guide sits in the lower half of a range management says extends to 12%, and the last two guides characterised as conservative were beaten by an average well into double digits.
Bear view: the bear camp contends that a 38.7% full-year revenue guide with 41 basis points of margin expansion, following two consecutive raises, is where the pattern of beats normally stops. The implied second half carries a 42.6% revenue comparison and an adjusted-EBITDA margin below the prior year's second half. If the beat cadence breaks, it breaks on a much higher bar.
Our take: the bulls have the better of this. The specific evidence is that the implied second-half margin excluding acquisitions is 10.91% against 11.01% a year ago, which is a guide that assumes no operating leverage on organic growth of roughly 34%. That assumption has now been wrong for two consecutive quarters. The risk is not that the guide is aggressive but that Quanta's ability to sandbag is now a consensus view and therefore priced.
Debate: Does 39x Forward Earnings Survive an Acquisition-Heavy Earnings Base?
Bull view: the argument for paying the multiple is that Quanta is buying operating EBITDA at four to six times while its own enterprise value trades at 25.5x, that leverage fell to 1.72x from 1.95x while spending $1.24B, and that the multiple has compressed from 52.4x to 39.4x over one quarter without the stock falling.
Bear view: the skeptical case is that 30% of adjusted EPS is add-backs, that intangible amortization alone is guided to $4.46 per share against $3.95 three months ago, that GAAP earnings support a 56.4x multiple rather than a 39.4x one, and that a company whose growth requires continuous acquisition is structurally more expensive than its adjusted multiple implies.
Our take: both are correct about different things. The adjusted number is the right basis for valuation because purchase-price amortization is a real cost that has already been paid in cash and is being double-counted if deducted again, but the bear point about compounding acquisition dependence is legitimate and the amortization line is the place to watch it. What tips the balance is that organic supplied 27.4 of 41.1 points of growth this quarter against 13.6 of 26.3 in the first, which is the opposite of a business becoming more acquisition-dependent.
Debate: Is Technology and Load Center Exposure a Second Addressable Market or a Cycle?
Bull view: the constructive framing is that Quanta sits at the interconnection point between hyperscaler urgency and utility rate discipline, that balance-of-plant scope is roughly 80% to 90% of a data-center build excluding chips, and that the craft workforce is fungible between this work and the traditional utility base, so a downturn in one market redeploys rather than strands the labor.
Bear view: the bear position is that guiding a market from 100%-120% growth to 220%-240% inside a single quarter is the signature of a cycle, that state-level permitting pauses are spreading, and that a business now 15% to 20% exposed to technology has taken on a beta it did not previously have.
Our take: the fungibility argument is the one that decides this, and it is supported by evidence rather than assertion: management described craft moving between data-center, industrial and gas compression work within a single quarter, and the Underground margin improvement is partly attributed to that same movement. A contractor whose input is redeployable does not carry the same end-market risk as one whose input is a fixed asset. We would still want the technology exposure disclosed as a reported line before treating it as a second addressable market rather than a fast-growing sub-mix.
Model Update Needed
| Item | Prior assumption | Revised assumption | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY26 revenue | $34.95B | $39.50B | Guide midpoint raised $4.55B; approximately 29% of the raise is acquired revenue, the balance organic and visibility-driven |
| FY26 adjusted EPS | $13.90 | $16.70 | Guide midpoint; $0.95 is the banked quarterly beat and $1.85 is a raise to the implied second half |
| FY26 adjusted EBITDA | $3,570.5M | $4,149.6M | Guide midpoint; implied margin 10.51% against 10.22% previously and 10.10% in FY25 |
| Electric segment revenue | $28.35B | $31.80B | Disclosed $3.45B raise at the midpoint; $800M to $1,000M is acquired |
| Electric operating margin | 10.3% | 10.6% | Guide raised to 10.5%-10.75%; Q2 printed 11.46%, and implied H2 is 10.93% against 11.11% a year ago |
| Underground segment revenue | $6.60B | $7.70B | $1.10B raise at the midpoint, of which approximately $400M is acquired |
| Underground operating margin | 8.38% | 8.88% | Guide raised to 8.75%-9.00% after Q2 printed 9.06%; implied H2 of 9.23% against 8.03% a year ago |
| Effective tax rate | 21% normalized | 24%-25% | Q2 printed 25.53%; the FY guide embeds $540.0M-$579.7M of provision against $182.5M taken in H1 |
| Amortization of intangibles | $601.2M | $679.5M | Per the FY26 non-GAAP reconciliation; now $4.46 per share of the GAAP-to-adjusted bridge, from $3.95 |
| Non-cash stock compensation | Not separately modelled | $267.2M | Per the FY26 reconciliation; $1.75 per share, growing 43.8% year over year in the quarter |
| Net capital expenditures | ~$800M | $900M | Per the FY26 free-cash-flow reconciliation; H1 actual was $416.8M |
| Free cash flow | $1.80B midpoint | $2.25B midpoint | Range raised so the new floor equals the old ceiling; H1 conversion of 61.1% exceeds the 54.2% the guide implies |
| M&A contribution | Zero, treated as upside | $1.2B-$1.4B revenue, $120M-$140M adjusted EBITDA | Four deals closed; now inside the guide. Continue to model zero for FY27 incremental M&A |
| NiSource program in backlog | Phase in from H2 2026 | Phase in from Q3 2026 | Management sharpened the timing from "later half of the year and beyond" to the third quarter |
| Interest expense | $267M-$273M | $268M-$274M | Effectively unchanged despite approximately $1.07B of cash consideration; assumes rapid repayment from H2 free cash flow |
Valuation impact: at the July 30 close of $657.98, on 152,439 thousand diluted shares and net debt of $5,598.5M (total debt of $6,104.9M less cash of $506.4M per the June 30 balance sheet), Quanta carries a market capitalization of approximately $100.3B and an enterprise value of approximately $105.9B. That is 39.4x the new adjusted-EPS midpoint of $16.70, 56.4x the GAAP midpoint of $11.67, 61.2x FY2025 actual adjusted EPS of $10.75, and approximately 25.5x enterprise value to the new adjusted-EBITDA midpoint. Three months ago, at $727.77 on the then-current guide, the same measures were 52.4x and 32.5x. Compounding the new midpoint at management's stated 15% to 20% for four years implies $29.21 to $34.63 of adjusted EPS in 2030, placing the stock at 22.5x to 19.0x an undiscounted four-years-forward number, against the 29.9x to 25.2x we calculated in April. The earnings base moved up 20% and the price did not follow it, which is the whole of the case for changing the rating.
Thesis Scorecard Post-Earnings
| Thesis point | Status | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bull 1: Craft-labor scale is a non-replicable moat | Confirmed | ON TRACK, unchanged. Roughly 8,000 organic adds in twelve months against approximately 7,400 acquired, about $250M of annual training spend, and demonstrated fungibility as labor moved between data-center, industrial and gas compression work inside one quarter |
| Bull 2: Vertical supply chain converts equipment scarcity into pricing power | Neutral | AT RISK, unchanged. The Hyosung HICO breaker joint venture strengthens the strategic case; there is still no revenue, margin, capital-employed or return disclosure for any manufacturing operation. Second consecutive quarter |
| Bull 3: Backlog compounds because Quanta is embedded in customer capital planning | Confirmed | ON TRACK, unchanged. Record $53.44B, RPO +75.1% against total backlog +49.1%, twelve-month backlog +61.2%. Organic book-to-bill of roughly 1.27x cleared the 1.2x threshold set in April, though it decelerated from 1.57x |
| Bull 4: First-quarter seasonality is structurally improving | Neutral | AT RISK, unchanged. Management supplied a mechanism (indoor work, fabrication, electrician-weighted craft) where in April it declined to comment, but Q2 does not test the Q4-to-Q1 step and the sequential ramp was steeper than 2025's. Untestable until Q1 2027 |
| Bear 1: Earnings quality diluted by acquisition dependence | Challenged | MATERIALIZING to EMERGING. Organic supplied 27.4 of 41.1 points of growth against 13.6 of 26.3 in Q1; corporate costs fell to 3.76% of revenue from 4.16%; GAAP is now 69.8% of adjusted against 54% in Q1. Offsetting: amortization +38.7% and the FY bridge widened to $4.46 per share from $3.95 |
| Bear 2: Guided margin expansion is absent after the reported quarter | Challenged | EMERGING to CONTAINED. FY guided adjusted-EBITDA expansion moved from 12 bps to 41 bps and both segment margin ranges were raised. The pattern repeats (implied H2 of 10.86% against 11.01%), but management named the back half as deliberately prudent and has now beaten the guided half twice |
| Bear 3: Valuation discounts flawless multi-year execution | Challenged | MATERIALIZING to EMERGING. 39.4x forward adjusted EPS against 52.4x in April, 25.5x EV/adjusted EBITDA against 32.5x, and 22.5x-19.0x an undiscounted 2030 number against 29.9x-25.2x. Still 56.4x GAAP and 61.2x FY25 actual adjusted EPS, so the absolute level remains demanding |
| Bear 4: The generation opportunity is self-capped by risk discipline | Neutral | CONTAINED, unchanged. The combined-cycle refusal was repeated in the same terms, and a new datapoint emerged in a large utility electing to self-perform its own gas generation. Correct risk management and a real ceiling on conversion |
Overall: the thesis is materially strengthened. Three of the four bear points were challenged in a single quarter and the two bull pillars that carried ON TRACK status were confirmed with harder evidence than they had in April. The two pillars still carrying qualified status, the vertical supply chain and the seasonality claim, are both blocked on disclosure or on the passage of time rather than on contrary evidence.
Action: Outperform. The operating case was never the question; the price was. A 20.1% increase in the forward earnings base against a 17.3% single-session move has taken the forward multiple below where it stood before the print and 13 turns below where it stood in April, while the demand cycle management describes has, if anything, lengthened. We would revisit at a re-rating back toward 50x forward adjusted earnings, on evidence that organic book-to-bill has fallen durably below 1.2x, or if a quarter arrives in which the guided half is missed rather than beaten.