Financial Models
10 published · 10 C15-verified · 0 pre-IPO · last published: INTU (2026-07-08)
- Window
- 23Q + 5A history · 9Q + 5A projection
- Segments
- 2
- KPI
- YoY-by-quarter growth × sub-offering (GBS: Online/Desktop Eco; Consumer: TurboTax/Credit Karma/ProTax); tax-season seasonality preserved
- Thesis
- Online Eco +16% + IES mid-market; DIY value-based pricing pivot; 2026 Plan +250bp FY27 OM; FY26 +13.5% → FY30 +7.4%
- Updated
- 2026-07-08 · 83 KB
- Window
- 22Q + 5A history · 10Q + 5A projection
- Segments
- 2
- KPI
- QoQ growth × customer group (BP&C / C&MP subscription revenue)
- Thesis
- Organic ARR decel caps growth at HSD; ~95%-of-FCF buybacks carry GAAP EPS $18→$29 by FY30; freemium conversion is the unmodeled upside
- Updated
- 2026-07-04 · 73 KB
- Window
- 2Q + 3A (424B4 disclosure depth; deepens with post-IPO 10-Qs) history · 8Q + 5A projection
- Segments
- 1
- KPI
- Monthly Paying Customers × ARPU (units × ASP, single consolidated segment)
- Thesis
- Post-IPO ($29, Jul '26): acquisition annualization FY26 +100% → +15% FY30; $933M raise banked for M&A; net-cash ~FY29E
- Updated
- 2026-07-04 · 31 KB
- Window
- 23Q + 5A history · 9Q + 5A projection
- Segments
- 3
- KPI
- bit growth × ASP change × technology (DRAM / NAND / Other)
- Thesis
- $50B FQ4'26 guide-anchored; 2027-28 supply response normalizes GM 86%→52% by FY29; SCA floor holds trough above prior-cycle peaks
- Updated
- 2026-07-04 · 64 KB
- Window
- 2Q + 3A (424B4 disclosure depth; deepens with post-IPO 10-Qs) history · 8Q + 5A projection
- Segments
- 3
- KPI
- Subs × ARPU (Starlink Consumer) + QoQ growth × 5 sub-segments (Space / E&G / AI)
- Thesis
- Post-IPO ($135, Jun '26): Starlink subs 10.3M→36M; $25B notes fund AI capex supercycle; FY26 +21% → FY30 +18%
- Updated
- 2026-07-04 · 42 KB
- Window
- 16Q + 5A history · 8Q + 5A projection
- Segments
- 2
- KPI
- QoQ growth × segment (Compute & Networking / Graphics)
- Thesis
- AI infra ramp: GB300 + Vera Rubin H2 FY27 drive FY27E rev +71% to ~$369B, decel to +8% by FY31; net margin holds ~55%
- Updated
- 2026-06-18 · 51 KB
- Window
- 16Q + 5A history · 8Q + 5A projection
- Segments
- 4
- KPI
- YoY growth × segment (Cloud / Software / Hardware / Services), FY26-recast regime
- Thesis
- $638B RPO converts: Cloud +65% FY27 on the DC build; GM troughs at the $90B capex/depreciation wave, FY30E rev ~$200B (10% haircut to mgmt path)
- Updated
- 2026-06-12 · 59 KB
- Window
- 8Q + 3A history · 8Q + 5A projection
- Segments
- 1
- KPI
- Members × PV per Active Member × Take Rate (intensive: count × $/unit); MyPay ARR informational
- Thesis
- Consumer fintech compounding: Members 8.6M → 13M+; PV/Member rising; MyPay attach driving ARPU; FY26 +27% → FY30 +18%
- Updated
- 2026-05-25 · 42 KB
- Window
- 16Q + 5A history · 8Q + 5A projection
- Segments
- 4
- KPI
- QoQ growth × segment (Garena / Shopee / Monee / Other)
- Thesis
- Shopee ROW expansion (Brazil/Latam) + Monee consumer credit compounding; FY26 +32% → FY30 +13%
- Updated
- 2026-05-20 · 52 KB
- Window
- 16Q + 5A history · 8Q + 5A projection
- Segments
- 7
- KPI
- QoQ growth × segment (CCG / DCAI / NEX / Intel Foundry / Mobileye / All Other / Eliminations)
- Thesis
- Intel Foundry external customer ramp + DCAI AI server share recovery; FY26 +6.5% → FY30 +8.1%
- Updated
- 2026-05-17 · 44 KB
Methodology
Every projected revenue cell traces to a KPI/driver row (C14). Terminal driver cells are rates, counts, or historical anchors — never typed-in projected dollar levels (C15). Every subtotal-vs-reported reconciliation row ties to $0 (C13). Each model is written per-ticker against its actual schema — no cloning, no level-input shortcuts.
